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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 4AM ET

data as of 2025-12-28 10:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$15K$31K
Holders83+1865
Trades2.5K−4523.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.4%
−30.7 pp
61.2%
Avg ROI-6.0%
−10.7 pp
4.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×30.91
+30.30×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×31.64
+31.03×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.9K
+$11.6K
−$8.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.69
0.27
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.9%
−163.2 pp
66.3%
Underwater %93.5%
+93.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %84.0%
−7.3 pp
91.4%
Bot %84.9%
−5.8 pp
90.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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