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Will Trump say "Future President" in July?

data as of 2026-07-06 16:02 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
59¢
NO
4¢
YES
59¢
YesY-NNo
Position$298+$70$229
Holders11−213
Trades33−538
NO
4¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.8%
+9.8 pp
45.0%
Avg ROI1.9%
−3.5 pp
5.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.02
−9.23×
×10.25
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.03
−7.67×
×8.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$83
−$110
$193
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.06
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-2.7%
+85.8 pp
-88.5%
Underwater %97.8%
−2.2 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−31.2 pp
31.2%
Bot %0.0%
−36.5 pp
36.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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