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Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-03-15?

data as of 2026-03-15 23:41 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.2K−$17K$18K
Holders68+761
Trades341+44297
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.8%
−25.3 pp
65.1%
Avg ROI11.3%
+8.0 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×100.26
+99.36×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×83.99
+83.07×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6
−$638
$644
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.8%
−108.0 pp
9.2%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %85.9%
+2.2 pp
83.7%
Bot %85.5%
+9.4 pp
76.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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