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Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?

data as of 2025-03-25 15:42 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5.5K−$248K$253K
Holders131−31162
Trades2.6K+642.5K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.1%
−23.8 pp
67.9%
Avg ROI1.0%
−2.0 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.40
−0.69×
×1.09
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.38
−0.69×
×1.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$271
+$1.9K
−$2.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.15
−0.25
0.40
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL202.7%
+210.2 pp
-7.6%
Underwater %0.4%
−95.6 pp
96.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.6%
+16.2 pp
12.4%
Bot %28.6%
+15.2 pp
13.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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