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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9PM ET

data as of 2025-08-19 21:42 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.2K−$17K$21K
Holders52+844
Trades835+290545
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.0%
−35.9 pp
73.9%
Avg ROI2.7%
+2.3 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.50
+2.85×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.06
+2.28×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$535
−$3.2K
$2.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.23
−0.70
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-61.4%
−90.8 pp
29.4%
Underwater %64.3%
+30.4 pp
33.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.7%
−10.3 pp
58.0%
Bot %49.9%
−9.4 pp
59.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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