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Will Toni Laites win Love Island season 12?

data as of 2025-08-03 18:20 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$523+$25$497
Holders18−220
Trades97+2473
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.2%
−13.1 pp
61.3%
Avg ROI3.4%
−7.4 pp
10.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.57
+2.87×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.34
+2.61×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7
−$46
$53
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-70.1%
−108.8 pp
38.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.2%
+9.8 pp
35.3%
Bot %44.6%
+9.2 pp
35.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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