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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

data as of 2025-12-23 17:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$26K$37K
Holders292+94198
Trades2.7K+2712.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.8%
−24.8 pp
73.6%
Avg ROI12.3%
+12.3 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.81
+12.06×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.60
+11.83×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.9K
−$14.9K
$17.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.2%
−125.5 pp
33.3%
Underwater %98.1%
+98.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.8%
+7.8 pp
54.0%
Bot %63.6%
+6.6 pp
56.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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