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Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?

data as of 2025-08-29 13:20 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$730−$11K$12K
Holders49+841
Trades924+353571
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.3%
−4.5 pp
61.7%
Avg ROI6.9%
−0.2 pp
7.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.70
+3.81×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.20
+4.43×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$725
+$4.0K
−$3.2K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-82.6%
−107.3 pp
24.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %17.1%
−16.1 pp
33.1%
Bot %17.1%
−16.1 pp
33.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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