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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 12:12 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.2K−$2.1K$9.2K
Holders123+12111
Trades1.6K+2471.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.7%
+1.3 pp
53.4%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−4.5 pp
3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.29
+11.72×
×0.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.73
+13.15×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.5K
−$2.5K
$4.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.7%
−165.1 pp
72.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.2%
+3.9 pp
61.3%
Bot %73.0%
−1.4 pp
74.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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