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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

data as of 2026-04-20 12:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.9K−$25K$34K
Holders449+48401
Trades3.8K+5373.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.6%
−12.6 pp
56.2%
Avg ROI7.6%
+7.7 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.37
+12.58×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.95
+11.18×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.2K
−$13.7K
$20.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.01
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.2%
−124.8 pp
32.6%
Underwater %96.3%
+94.5 pp
1.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.3%
−6.8 pp
69.1%
Bot %62.7%
−8.7 pp
71.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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