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Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?

data as of 2026-05-15 14:22 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$149−$75K$76K
Holders42+1626
Trades175+9877
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate4.4%
−85.9 pp
90.3%
Avg ROI34.6%
+34.5 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.03
+0.03×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$22
$23
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-2.8%
−2.8 pp
0.0%
Underwater %15.9%
+15.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.9%
+15.9 pp
0.0%
Bot %15.9%
+15.9 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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