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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

data as of 2026-03-15 22:23 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$83K+$77K$6.2K
Holders352−3355
Trades3.2K−4573.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.0%
+20.6 pp
43.5%
Avg ROI0.4%
+0.2 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−9.15×
×9.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−7.07×
×7.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$27.9K
+$21.9K
$5.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL22.0%
+110.9 pp
-88.9%
Underwater %2.1%
−89.4 pp
91.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %66.0%
−12.1 pp
78.1%
Bot %65.7%
−10.1 pp
75.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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