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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-26 21:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.7K−$18K$27K
Holders249+35214
Trades2.5K+2722.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.6%
−7.1 pp
53.7%
Avg ROI1.0%
+1.2 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.12
+12.34×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.82
+12.06×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.6K
−$12.0K
$14.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.05
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.6%
−127.3 pp
34.6%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.0%
−7.8 pp
81.8%
Bot %72.8%
−4.9 pp
77.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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