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Will GL/PvdA win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?

data as of 2025-10-31 00:38 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$365−$9.6K$10.0K
Holders29−2958
Trades215+6209
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.0%
−38.4 pp
75.4%
Avg ROI8.1%
+6.0 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×29.28
+28.31×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×42.90
+41.93×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$2.9K
$2.9K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.01
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−100.8 pp
3.2%
Underwater %70.8%
+70.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.6%
−4.0 pp
32.6%
Bot %28.6%
−4.0 pp
32.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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