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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-12 14:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K+$4.6K$9.9K
Holders295−16311
Trades2.7K−12.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.4%
+10.2 pp
42.2%
Avg ROI2.8%
−5.4 pp
8.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.60
−11.83×
×12.43
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.57
−10.46×
×11.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.2K
+$3.6K
$9.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL74.4%
+166.0 pp
-91.6%
Underwater %0.1%
−95.3 pp
95.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %44.7%
+2.0 pp
42.7%
Bot %69.8%
+6.0 pp
63.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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