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Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on April 30?

data as of 2026-04-30 08:54 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$412−$1.6K$2.0K
Holders76+2947
Trades330+89241
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.0%
−20.6 pp
66.6%
Avg ROI16.5%
+15.8 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.54
+1.72×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.48
+1.68×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12
−$80
$92
Recent buyer dominance0.77
−0.23
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-62.3%
−87.0 pp
24.7%
Underwater %98.0%
+96.9 pp
1.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.5%
+1.2 pp
31.3%
Bot %32.5%
+1.2 pp
31.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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