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Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 5?

data as of 2026-05-05 15:23 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.4K−$3.5K$4.9K
Holders162+58104
Trades1.1K+354745
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.0%
−30.1 pp
76.0%
Avg ROI9.0%
+7.5 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.60
+1.74×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.74
+2.86×
×0.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$2
+$58
−$59
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−0.46
0.46
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-77.0%
−94.8 pp
17.8%
Underwater %71.0%
+30.0 pp
41.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.5%
−9.6 pp
24.1%
Bot %17.9%
−3.3 pp
21.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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