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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

data as of 2026-04-01 08:49 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Down🗓️ settles Apr 1, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
3¢
DOWN
96¢
UP
3¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.0K−$13K$21K
Holders322+25297
Trades3.1K+6512.4K
DOWN
96¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.5%
−14.5 pp
57.0%
Avg ROI5.4%
+2.3 pp
3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.21
+7.42×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.12
+6.31×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.9K
−$11.0K
$17.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.5%
−115.3 pp
27.9%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %71.2%
−12.3 pp
83.5%
Bot %71.0%
−12.3 pp
83.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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