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Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 15?

data as of 2026-07-13 18:15 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 15, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
9¢
NO
82¢
YES
9¢
YesY-NNo
Position$281−$1.5K$1.8K
Holders42+1725
Trades124+5569
NO
82¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.4%
−40.3 pp
88.7%
Avg ROI11.9%
+0.9 pp
10.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.48
+0.44×
×1.04
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.63
+0.60×
×1.04
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$67
−$237
$304
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.14
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-39.4%
−35.7 pp
-3.7%
Underwater %99.6%
+9.5 pp
90.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.9%
+2.7 pp
1.2%
Bot %18.9%
−65.7 pp
84.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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