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XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

data as of 2026-05-05 01:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$79−$384$463
Holders39+2712
Trades99+4950
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate15.0%
−37.5 pp
52.6%
Avg ROI10.1%
+13.8 pp
-3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.75
+3.15×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.61
+12.01×
×0.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$76
+$10
$65
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.18
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.4%
−159.8 pp
67.4%
Underwater %90.9%
+90.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.3%
−26.6 pp
74.9%
Bot %50.0%
−26.5 pp
76.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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