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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

data as of 2026-07-11 04:33 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K+$6.7K$4.3K
Holders241+25216
Trades1.3K−1421.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.9%
+4.1 pp
47.8%
Avg ROI-0.1%
−0.9 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−26.19×
×26.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−29.06×
×29.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.4K
+$6.3K
$4.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.03
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL43.7%
+140.1 pp
-96.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.4%
−6.8 pp
43.3%
Bot %46.7%
−5.8 pp
52.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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