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Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?

data as of 2026-06-25 11:19 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
12¢
NO
59¢
YES
12¢
YesY-NNo
Position$70+$70$0
Holders7+70
Trades7+52
NO
59¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
+49.2 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI-0.8%
−0.8 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.42
+3.42×
×0.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.43
+3.43×
×0.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$70
+$88
−$17
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-70.8%
−70.8 pp
0.0%
Underwater %99.3%
+99.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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