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Will 4 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?

data as of 2026-02-20 15:02 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.2K−$5.1K$6.3K
Holders74+3341
Trades471+31440
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.5%
−0.9 pp
61.4%
Avg ROI14.5%
+13.1 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.84
+13.97×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.12
+15.25×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26
−$477
$504
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.15
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.8%
−108.5 pp
14.7%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.6%
−19.6 pp
61.2%
Bot %41.6%
−20.5 pp
62.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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