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Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

data as of 2026-03-03 03:36 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.8K−$41K$43K
Holders213+98115
Trades4.1K+2.3K1.8K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.4%
−53.5 pp
80.9%
Avg ROI12.3%
+10.8 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.98
+3.00×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.11
+5.13×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$2
+$421
−$423
Recent buyer dominance0.47
+0.47
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.0%
−87.2 pp
2.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.9%
−39.4 pp
70.3%
Bot %31.0%
−42.4 pp
73.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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