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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on April 23?

data as of 2026-04-21 04:18 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5−$488$493
Holders16+79
Trades58+3424
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate16.2%
−42.1 pp
58.3%
Avg ROI-40.4%
−43.0 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.14×
×1.14
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.10×
×1.10
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$10
$12
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+9.2 pp
-9.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−73.3 pp
73.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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