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NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 20?

data as of 2026-07-17 17:29 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 20, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
85¢
NO
15¢
YES
85¢
YesY-NNo
Position$68−$0$68
Holders2−810
Trades2−911
NO
15¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.3%
+6.4 pp
31.9%
Avg ROI-0.5%
+2.6 pp
-3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.53×
×1.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.51×
×1.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$68
+$71
−$3
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+34.0 pp
-34.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−7.5 pp
7.5%
Bot %0.0%
−10.9 pp
10.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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