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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

data as of 2026-04-07 08:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$40K$53K
Holders388+24364
Trades4.5K+1714.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.4%
−34.5 pp
78.9%
Avg ROI3.5%
+1.8 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×30.86
+30.19×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×28.44
+27.70×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.4K
−$17.5K
$29.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.02
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.3%
−138.0 pp
41.7%
Underwater %97.8%
+95.9 pp
1.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.9%
+2.6 pp
73.4%
Bot %76.2%
+2.4 pp
73.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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