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Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 21-27?

data as of 2026-07-26 18:40 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 28, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
6¢
NO
60¢
YES
6¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3−$387$390
Holders4−26
Trades5−510
NO
60¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.9%
−9.9 pp
64.9%
Avg ROI-3.3%
−6.8 pp
3.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.05×
×1.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.01×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
+$1
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.0%
−1.2 pp
1.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−56.2 pp
56.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.0%
+6.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %6.0%
+6.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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