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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 00:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.3K−$4.7K$9.0K
Holders125−13138
Trades1.3K+181.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.7%
−1.4 pp
55.1%
Avg ROI4.2%
−1.2 pp
5.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.41
+16.81×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.53
+17.92×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$563
−$2.0K
$2.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.06
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.7%
−161.2 pp
66.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.6 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.6%
+4.4 pp
61.2%
Bot %76.2%
−0.5 pp
76.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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