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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-24 16:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.9K−$2.0K$6.9K
Holders89+1079
Trades836−19855
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.9%
−1.2 pp
53.1%
Avg ROI2.5%
−0.3 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×37.46
+36.81×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×37.10
+36.50×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.0K
−$161
$2.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.17
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−163.5 pp
66.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.0%
+0.6 pp
48.4%
Bot %62.6%
−8.4 pp
71.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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