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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

data as of 2026-05-15 15:04 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$3.9K$21K
Holders591+93498
Trades4.7K+5694.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.6%
−1.9 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI2.1%
+1.6 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×21.85
+21.29×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×20.33
+19.75×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.7K
−$202
$16.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.04
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.3%
−177.0 pp
81.6%
Underwater %98.6%
+98.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.0%
−0.6 pp
53.6%
Bot %64.1%
+0.3 pp
63.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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