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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

data as of 2025-10-13 05:41 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$8.8K$8.9K
Holders46+1333
Trades174+26148
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.6%
−3.6 pp
54.2%
Avg ROI-19.4%
−24.7 pp
5.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.86
−0.42×
×1.28
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.86
−0.46×
×1.32
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$57
−$595
$652
Recent buyer dominance0.71
−0.28
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL16.8%
+41.0 pp
-24.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.4%
+7.0 pp
9.4%
Bot %1.2%
−7.4 pp
8.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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