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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

data as of 2026-05-09 21:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K+$8.2K$5.4K
Holders272−23295
Trades2.4K−642.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.7%
+5.1 pp
49.6%
Avg ROI1.2%
+1.3 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−13.77×
×14.46
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−14.13×
×14.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.7K
+$5.0K
$4.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.80
−0.09
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL42.5%
+135.3 pp
-92.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.6 pp
96.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.1%
+1.8 pp
67.3%
Bot %69.2%
+2.3 pp
66.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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