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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

data as of 2026-02-05 15:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$77K−$94K$172K
Holders593+148445
Trades11K+1.6K9.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.7%
−21.1 pp
63.8%
Avg ROI1.6%
+3.0 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.38
+16.69×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.02
+17.32×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.9K
−$52.2K
$57.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.67
−0.18
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.1%
−141.1 pp
46.9%
Underwater %90.9%
+85.0 pp
5.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.9%
−4.4 pp
83.3%
Bot %78.8%
−4.4 pp
83.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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