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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

data as of 2026-02-01 02:27 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$86K$102K
Holders384+1383
Trades6.3K+5275.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.3%
−18.7 pp
58.9%
Avg ROI5.1%
−3.5 pp
8.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×23.65
+22.94×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.35
+21.66×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$612
−$6.8K
$7.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.24
0.69
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.0%
−137.5 pp
41.5%
Underwater %96.4%
+95.6 pp
0.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.0%
−8.9 pp
64.9%
Bot %55.4%
−9.5 pp
64.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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