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Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?

data as of 2026-05-19 22:57 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$187−$2.0K$2.2K
Holders59+1544
Trades830+639191
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate22.0%
−63.5 pp
85.6%
Avg ROI-16.9%
−22.6 pp
5.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−0.44×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.20
+0.24×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$7
$7
Recent buyer dominance0.50
−0.50
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-69.0%
−72.5 pp
3.5%
Underwater %14.5%
+4.6 pp
9.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.3%
−6.7 pp
12.1%
Bot %5.4%
−54.1 pp
59.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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