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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9PM ET

data as of 2025-07-09 01:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.8K−$9.4K$17K
Holders44+1826
Trades494+109385
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.4%
−6.4 pp
51.9%
Avg ROI3.1%
+1.5 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.66
+18.33×
×0.34
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.45
+14.98×
×0.48
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$63
−$68
$132
Recent buyer dominance0.99
−0.01
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.5%
−203.2 pp
109.7%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.5%
−2.1 pp
78.6%
Bot %76.5%
−2.1 pp
78.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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