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XRP Up or Down - July 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 20:43 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$669+$497$172
Holders19019
Trades82+775
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.2%
+5.2 pp
52.0%
Avg ROI1.2%
−0.6 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.97
−1.36×
×2.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.95
−1.48×
×2.43
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$669
+$498
$171
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.00
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL5.9%
+65.4 pp
-59.5%
Underwater %9.4%
−90.6 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.4%
+32.0 pp
36.3%
Bot %68.5%
+29.9 pp
38.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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