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Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 16?

data as of 2026-04-16 16:54 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$131−$936$1.1K
Holders55+1738
Trades289+155134
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.3%
−41.5 pp
78.8%
Avg ROI-14.1%
−16.5 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.00
+12.08×
×0.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.79
+10.89×
×0.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$47
$47
Recent buyer dominance0.68
−0.32
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.5%
−105.6 pp
13.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+97.6 pp
2.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.0%
+37.1 pp
25.9%
Bot %62.6%
+40.2 pp
22.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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