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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

data as of 2026-03-31 21:08 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.8K−$18K$21K
Holders231+92139
Trades1.5K+3331.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.8%
−9.2 pp
53.1%
Avg ROI-1.4%
−1.7 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.50
+5.64×
×0.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.22
+7.36×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$525
−$4.1K
$4.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.03
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.5%
−107.2 pp
18.7%
Underwater %97.3%
+97.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.3%
−2.1 pp
80.3%
Bot %78.2%
−1.1 pp
79.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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