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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4PM ET

data as of 2025-09-01 20:47 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.4K−$26K$34K
Holders67+1948
Trades912−18930
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.7%
−18.8 pp
58.5%
Avg ROI4.4%
+6.0 pp
-1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.53
+3.72×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.85
+4.99×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$127
−$3.4K
$3.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.15
−0.85
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-80.5%
−97.6 pp
17.1%
Underwater %74.8%
+53.4 pp
21.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.7%
−16.8 pp
70.6%
Bot %55.6%
−17.1 pp
72.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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