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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-12 18:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K+$56$10K
Holders254−13267
Trades2.3K−1522.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.7%
−0.2 pp
51.9%
Avg ROI1.5%
−0.4 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−16.60×
×17.12
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.50
−16.06×
×16.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.4K
−$501
$9.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.02
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL96.5%
+190.5 pp
-94.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.1 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.8%
+1.0 pp
44.8%
Bot %69.2%
−1.4 pp
70.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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