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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

data as of 2026-03-25 19:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K−$22K$49K
Holders425−34459
Trades5.1K−3335.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.6%
−3.3 pp
49.9%
Avg ROI-1.0%
−31.4 pp
30.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.21
+18.63×
×0.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.34
+17.76×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26.1K
−$10.1K
$36.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.6%
−168.3 pp
73.7%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.6 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %86.8%
+1.1 pp
85.7%
Bot %86.4%
+1.8 pp
84.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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