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Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 29?

data as of 2026-06-28 03:14 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jun 29, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
33¢
NO
62¢
YES
33¢
YesY-NNo
Position$89−$171$260
Holders7−512
Trades21+417
NO
62¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate65.6%
+17.3 pp
48.3%
Avg ROI16.4%
+12.7 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−0.43×
×1.21
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−0.33×
×1.20
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$94
−$179
$273
Recent buyer dominance0.71
−0.29
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL18.4%
+35.2 pp
-16.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.4 pp
98.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.3%
−0.3 pp
1.6%
Bot %0.0%
−8.0 pp
8.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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