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Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 21?

data as of 2026-05-21 12:20 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.7K+$3.4K$1.3K
Holders98−17115
Trades517+129388
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.0%
−2.4 pp
55.4%
Avg ROI3.7%
−8.8 pp
12.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.40
−28.10×
×28.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.60
−18.68×
×19.28
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$608
+$566
$42
Recent buyer dominance0.78
−0.10
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL86.5%
+181.8 pp
-95.3%
Underwater %0.9%
−71.4 pp
72.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.5%
−18.8 pp
34.3%
Bot %15.5%
−4.2 pp
19.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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