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Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 18?

data as of 2026-04-17 12:04 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$633−$15K$16K
Holders109+5752
Trades358+161197
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.2%
−40.0 pp
76.2%
Avg ROI5.2%
+2.5 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.12
+4.28×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.53
+3.63×
×0.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$108
−$744
$852
Recent buyer dominance0.99
−0.01
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-78.4%
−90.8 pp
12.5%
Underwater %86.0%
+57.9 pp
28.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.5%
+19.6 pp
12.9%
Bot %30.2%
+16.9 pp
13.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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