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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 26?

data as of 2026-03-26 04:18 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Mar 26, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
2¢
NO
98¢
YES
2¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.6K−$12K$14K
Holders244+99145
Trades2.1K+8541.2K
NO
98¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.5%
−18.9 pp
70.4%
Avg ROI91.3%
+92.2 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.78
+3.85×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.20
+3.25×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$205
$209
Recent buyer dominance0.87
+0.09
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-80.6%
−87.8 pp
7.2%
Underwater %90.7%
+89.1 pp
1.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.8%
−7.7 pp
20.4%
Bot %15.0%
−5.5 pp
20.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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