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Will Trump's approval rating be between 43.0 and 43.4 on December 19, 2025?

data as of 2025-12-20 03:02 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$988−$4.3K$5.3K
Holders55−52107
Trades470+38432
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.3%
−54.2 pp
84.4%
Avg ROI47.6%
+47.1 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.36
−0.52×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.57
+0.68×
×0.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$13
−$209
$195
Recent buyer dominance0.04
−0.57
0.60
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-40.4%
−52.9 pp
12.5%
Underwater %46.7%
+12.0 pp
34.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.3%
−39.6 pp
64.9%
Bot %27.2%
−43.2 pp
70.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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