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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

data as of 2026-05-18 17:14 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$20K$2.6K
Holders127−49176
Trades976−1221.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.6%
+12.3 pp
42.3%
Avg ROI0.2%
−6.5 pp
6.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−149.77×
×150.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.80
−145.37×
×146.17
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.1K
+$4.0K
$110
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.10
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL27.0%
+126.4 pp
-99.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.3%
+20.7 pp
42.6%
Bot %81.3%
+20.1 pp
61.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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