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Will the highest temperature in Austin be 102°F or higher on July 19?

data as of 2026-07-18 21:06 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 19, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3−$566$569
Holders17+116
Trades54+1242
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate29.8%
−60.7 pp
90.4%
Avg ROI162.0%
+156.3 pp
5.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.46
+0.46×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.59
+1.59×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$116
$116
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-61.4%
−61.7 pp
0.3%
Underwater %64.9%
+62.8 pp
2.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.7%
+60.7 pp
1.1%
Bot %47.2%
+29.3 pp
17.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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